I base my calculation on the expectation that luck will be against me.
Moses has revealed the existence of God to his nation. Jesus Christ to the Roman world, Muhammad to the old continent...
The laws of circumstance are abolished by new circumstances.
I don't employ Talleyrand when I want a thing done, but only when I want to have the appearance of wanting to do it.
The unwilling soldier will do anything to fight for a useless fabric piece of ribbon.